Re: Official Georgia Senate Runoff Election Thread
 

No problem :)

Re: Official Georgia Senate Runoff Election Thread
 

Exit polls indicate Young Ossoff looking good with votes of color. Perdue looking good with white voters with college degree. We are surely headed down to the wire here!

Re: Official Georgia Senate Runoff Election Thread
 

Not looking good for dems. Most absentee ballots have already been counted and those are where most of the dem votes come from

Re: Official Georgia Senate Runoff Election Thread
 

@Nate_Cohn
Warnock now estimated to lead by a point, according to our estimates. He's running slightly ahead of expectations across all methods only good news for GOP is that the election day vt is about 5% higher than expected, but that doesn't quite work out

The key question: how representative is the vote? Can GOP run ahead of what's left, even though they've run behind in what's counted? We try and control for that demographically, but you never know

The key area of uncertainty is the election day vote. So far we only have 22k election day votes. They can do better with what's left

Re: Official Georgia Senate Runoff Election Thread
 

Swim who do you think might win it all?

Re: Official Georgia Senate Runoff Election Thread
 

But if Warnock and Ossof win, Mitchy won’t be in charge any more. That will be huge...

Re: Official Georgia Senate Runoff Election Thread
 

I am hopeful...I will just say that

Re: Official Georgia Senate Runoff Election Thread
 

Hopeful is definitely than no hope so I’m definitely with ya!

Re: Official Georgia Senate Runoff Election Thread
 

Fucking hell the Dems might pull this off!

Re: Official Georgia Senate Runoff Election Thread
 

@Taniel
Washington County is the first county so far to flip from Perdue in November to Ossoff today.

Perdue carried it by 1.7% in November. Ossoff carried it by 2.4% today, so a net swing of 4.1%.