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-   -   Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023 (http://dreamact.info/forum/showthread.php?t=85481)

Transcend 12-21-2022 02:49 AM
Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
Quote:
Axios
6 hours ago - Politics & Policy
Scoop: Biden's inflation-immigration pitch

The Biden administration is plotting to make a fresh push on immigration reform in the new year, looking for ways to provide legal status for so-called "Dreamers" and increase the labor supply to help lower inflation, according to people familiar with the matter.

Why it matters: Biden’s political advisers know the situation at the border — with up to 14,000 migrants expected to be crossing every day if Title 42 ends — presents an urgent humanitarian emergency and a long-term political dilemma.

At the same time, top economic aides are concerned that the lack of immigrant workers is leading to labor shortages, which will continue to keep inflation high.
But finding a legislative compromise that’s acceptable to the GOP-controlled House, as well as the president’s progressive base, will be a massive challenge. Biden officials are willing to try.
What they're saying: Immigration reform is "harder in the divided Congress, but it's so clearly necessary in light of what we're seeing in the job market," Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo told Axios.

“The thing that's underpinning inflation still — that’s driving inflation still — is this tight labor market,” she said.
"Immigration is a lever,” she stressed. "We're down a million immigrants a year. That's a workforce that we need."
What we're watching: The president, like the rest of Washington, doesn’t know who the next speaker of the House will be — and how much space he or she will have to maneuver on immigration or any other legislation.

Leading up to next year’s State of the Union, Biden officials will continue to mill and refine the president's 2023 agenda, considering what's legislatively possible and what they need to include to please their progressive base.
By the numbers: Inflation has cooled from its June high of 9.1%, with the Consumer Price Index reading 7.1% in November.

Job growth continues to be robust, with employers adding 263,000 jobs last month.
But wage growth has also accelerated: Average hourly earnings for private-sector workers were up 0.6% in November, translating to a 5.8% annual rate over the past three months. That will make the Fed's job of taming inflation more difficult.
The big picture: The contours of a grand immigration bargain have been in view for several years, but only if you squint.

Republicans would receive increased funding for border security; Democrats would win permanent protection for the roughly 2 million undocumented migrants who were brought here as minors, and the business and agricultural communities would get more visas for high- and low-skilled workers.

An actual political compromise has been maddeningly difficult.
The most recent bipartisan effort by Sens. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) and Kyrsten Sinema (I-Ariz.) foundered late in the legislative cycle, after some hope that their framework could find 60 votes in the Senate and pass the House while Democrats still controlled it.
Go deeper: Biden outlined his plan to modernize the immigration system on the first day of his presidency and has continued to call it a priority.

Asked about the prospects for immigration reform in the new Congress, Jared Bernstein, a member of the Council of Economic Advisers, told CNBC that "the legislative agenda can always surprise you.”
“And President Joe Biden is pretty masterful at pulling legislative rabbits out of hats,” he added. "So I wouldn't count anything out."
Between the lines: The White House also wants to increase the labor supply by convincing Congress to provide billions in new programs for elder and child care, two planks of Biden's Build Back Better agenda that were knocked out by Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.).

In addition, the administration is seeking to expand the workforce by helping younger Americans learn skilled labor and enabling older workers to retrain in new fields.
https://www.axios.com/2022/12/21/bid...form-inflation

Transcend 12-21-2022 02:52 AM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
While my expectations are much lower for anything happening in 2023, this will no doubt be very interesting to watch and the outcome could surprise us. The Biden admin should be coming out officially with some border security + legalization bill and call on Republicans to support it. This way we can have them on record for being hypocrites when they vote no.

Transcend 12-21-2022 02:55 AM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
For what's worth, try texting president Biden at his community outreach number (302) 404-0880 and let him know we need to push for legalization for dreamers in 2023.

It would be +1 voice/data point for immigration reform in his list of issues to tackle.

Transcend 12-21-2022 03:02 AM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
This is from a different article with Sen. Sinema saying there will be immigration discussions in January.

"Despite bipartisan support for the framework agreement, Sinema and Tillis ran out of time to collect the support from the 60 senators needed to pass the bill. Instead, lawmakers will spend the final few days of the current legislative session trying to avoid a government shutdown and pass a budget.

In her remarks, Sinema expressed her disappointment at ending the session without a deal, saying lawmakers from both parties chose to "retreat to its partisan corners" rather than to familiarize themselves with the issues along the U.S.-Mexico border and taking action to solve them.

"That's why when we come back to Congress in January, one of the first things I'll do with Senator Tillis is convene a bipartisan group of senators who are willing and committed to get something done," Sinema said. "We're going to bring them to the border. We're going to see what Arizonans see every single day, because a crisis this big should not and cannot be ignored."

https://www.azcentral.com/story/news...m/69745442007/

jorgeag92 12-21-2022 03:28 AM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
They won't do anything, but discuss. Congress only works after shit hits the fan. In this case it would have been if the court didn't block title 42 from being lifted. Next chance we have is if Hannen will declare the Daca program illegal. If that happens then they will pass something, but between point a and b there will be some time in between, so save up in the piggy bank.

Outsider626 12-21-2022 03:38 AM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
Heard about discussions for the last 10 years.

KB24 12-21-2022 04:18 AM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
If House was still under Democratic control I would say there is some chance this could happen. But I just don't see it happening with GOP House..

Red neck 12-21-2022 09:29 AM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
Why didnt they try this year when they had a better opportunity...
Its all talk...

FLDreamerrr 12-21-2022 10:01 AM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
“Joey from half court buzzer beater! 2023 will be our year, Joey will reach a massive deal with McCarthy and the dreamers will prevail after many years of being forgotten!”
-2face

hDreamer1988 12-21-2022 12:20 PM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
I would say any talk of Citizenship, Legal status for more than 1M people, or anything that does not have extreme border security is DOA in the republican house. If a bill passes the senate, I seriously doubt that the house would take it up. It would be like a 2010 dream act.

No one should get their hopes up considering the far right controls the house. They have been playing the long game by bringing Daca to the courts to kill it. We are about the see what their years of planning accomplishes .

hDreamer1988 12-21-2022 12:21 PM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
Quote:
This is from a different article with Sen. Sinema saying there will be immigration discussions in January.

"Despite bipartisan support for the framework agreement, Sinema and Tillis ran out of time to collect the support from the 60 senators needed to pass the bill. Instead, lawmakers will spend the final few days of the current legislative session trying to avoid a government shutdown and pass a budget.

In her remarks, Sinema expressed her disappointment at ending the session without a deal, saying lawmakers from both parties chose to "retreat to its partisan corners" rather than to familiarize themselves with the issues along the U.S.-Mexico border and taking action to solve them.

"That's why when we come back to Congress in January, one of the first things I'll do with Senator Tillis is convene a bipartisan group of senators who are willing and committed to get something done," Sinema said. "We're going to bring them to the border. We're going to see what Arizonans see every single day, because a crisis this big should not and cannot be ignored."
The house is now the issue, any deal that passes the senate will be killed in the house. This would be the 2010 dream act all over again.

Imthexman 12-21-2022 12:43 PM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
Recession is about to hit hard next year, I've read everywhere that unemployment is pose to rise next year big time. This feels like 2006 again, the peak before the dive. Hopefully this does not happen but if unemployment rises, I can already hear fox news blaming immigrants and we'll get screwed again as usual.

freshh. 12-21-2022 12:54 PM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Transcend (Post 769439)
This is from a different article with Sen. Sinema saying there will be immigration discussions in January.

"Despite bipartisan support for the framework agreement, Sinema and Tillis ran out of time to collect the support from the 60 senators needed to pass the bill. Instead, lawmakers will spend the final few days of the current legislative session trying to avoid a government shutdown and pass a budget.

In her remarks, Sinema expressed her disappointment at ending the session without a deal, saying lawmakers from both parties chose to "retreat to its partisan corners" rather than to familiarize themselves with the issues along the U.S.-Mexico border and taking action to solve them.

"That's why when we come back to Congress in January, one of the first things I'll do with Senator Tillis is convene a bipartisan group of senators who are willing and committed to get something done," Sinema said. "We're going to bring them to the border. We're going to see what Arizonans see every single day, because a crisis this big should not and cannot be ignored."

https://www.azcentral.com/story/news...m/69745442007/
You know if there is one person that may actually be able to pull this off it might be her. I think she is worried about her re-election chances hence the party affiliation change. Maybe her desperation will work in our favor.

Either way, I'm dusting off these dating profiles because if they could not pass immigration reform when the Dems controlled both chambers, I'm not sure how they expect to do so with the Republicans in control of the House. :lol:

Transcend 12-21-2022 03:53 PM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by freshh. (Post 769452)
You know if there is one person that may actually be able to pull this off it might be her. I think she is worried about her re-election chances hence the party affiliation change. Maybe her desperation will work in our favor.

Either way, I'm dusting off these dating profiles because if they could not pass immigration reform when the Dems controlled both chambers, I'm not sure how they expect to do so with the Republicans in control of the House. :lol:
Exactly, freshh. I think knowing her skills and winning record on legislation, we should give her the benefit of the doubt. She would not have thrown herself into the ring if a deal was impossible. She is quite a skillful politician.

2MoreYears 12-21-2022 04:03 PM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
Please do not become another 2Face! That's the last thing we need here!

Transcend 12-21-2022 04:11 PM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2MoreYears (Post 769454)
Please do not become another 2Face! That's the last thing we need here!
Who, me? Not to worry, I am the healthy balance between 2Face's ultra-hopium and FlDreamer's constant "DOA" sentiment. In all honesty though, hope is really all we can go on than being somber all the time.

Imthexman 12-21-2022 05:14 PM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
Sinema plans to continue working on her plan stating January.

Watch out guys, she will convince McCarthy to bring the dream act for a vote and convince republicans and democrats to get along because if there is a person who can do it, is her, lol.

Simena is the 2FACE of the senate, she is overoptimistic and plans to solve everything with her connections, lol

https://about.bgov.com/news/sinema-s...ong-next-year/

hDreamer1988 12-21-2022 05:19 PM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
Quote:
Exactly, freshh. I think knowing her skills and winning record on legislation, we should give her the benefit of the doubt. She would not have thrown herself into the ring if a deal was impossible. She is quite a skillful politician.
The biggest issue is if a bill passes the senate, will it be voted on in the house. I believe the answer is no.

We will gauge the GOP-led house's stance on immigration when they reveal their own immigration bills at the start of next year. I am willing to bet they will be solely about enforcement.

Imthexman 12-21-2022 05:29 PM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by hDreamer1988 (Post 769457)
The biggest issue is if a bill passes the senate, will it be voted on in the house. I believe the answer is no.

We will gauge the GOP-led house's stance on immigration when they reveal their own immigration bills at the start of next year. I am willing to bet they will be solely about enforcement.
I think she is about to be irrelevant, even the dems don't like her plan, plus they hate her now that she switched parties.




“I’m not optimistic,” said Sen. Bob Menendez (D-N.J.), who previously raised concerns about the Title 42 extension and other provisions in the Sinema-Tillis framework. A group of three House Democrats also spoke out against the proposal.

Transcend 12-21-2022 05:34 PM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Imthexman (Post 769458)
I think she is about to be irrelevant, even the dems don't like her plan, plus they hate her now that she switched parties.




“I’m not optimistic,” said Sen. Bob Menendez (D-N.J.), who previously raised concerns about the Title 42 extension and other provisions in the Sinema-Tillis framework. A group of three House Democrats also spoke out against the proposal.
Congressional members do not hate her. In fact, she has a very close relationship with many senators across the aisle. Her Arizona state democrats however do. tbh, what she is doing is risky but smart and time will tell if she is rewarded for her party switch. It may be the only way to have a progressive elected in AZ in the future. Not too long ago, AZ used to be a solid GOP territory.

dreamer12345 12-21-2022 06:48 PM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
"scoop" or WH calling in for favorable BS planted story?

2Face 12-21-2022 08:21 PM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
A massive deal is potentially brewing downtown...most likely shall pass early in the 118th Congress (as long as there is no intervention by UWD and Co.)...top surprise move by Joey! Its high time he leverage his connections from the Senate days and get a famous compromise passed to legalize all Dreamers at least...

FLDreamerrr 12-21-2022 08:30 PM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2Face (Post 769461)
A massive deal is potentially brewing downtown...most likely shall pass early in the 118th Congress (as long as there is no intervention by UWD and Co.)...top surprise move by Joey! Its high time he leverage his connections from the Senate days and get a famous compromise passed to legalize all Dreamers at least...
Pretty close 😂😂😂😂😂

hDreamer1988 12-21-2022 11:00 PM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
Lol, there is a pattern.

Massive Deal == DOA

Let's try a small deal and see if there is any traction. At least with a small deal, that will be new data to plan with moving forward

freshh. 12-22-2022 07:36 AM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by hDreamer1988 (Post 769463)
Lol, there is a pattern.

Massive Deal == DOA

Let's try a small deal and see if there is any traction. At least with a small deal, that will be new data to plan with moving forward
I will never understand why they refuse to try small-scale changes. This is insanity.

hDreamer1988 12-22-2022 12:30 PM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
Quote:
I will never understand why they refuse to try small-scale changes. This is insanity.
Honestly, if they would implement a work program that grants a renewable work permit to a least a portion of the 11M undocumented population, and couple that with strict work requirements, that economy would do a complete 180. This would help the worker shortage issue, help the solvency of government programs, and generate additional revenue from taxes and fees.

In my opinion, each party is willing to torpedo the US so their part can gain power or better standing. A solution that can benefit everyone is there but the people in power prefer to use the issue to generate votes and $$$ rather than solve the problem.

SEPT 06 12-22-2022 12:45 PM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
https://www.yahoo.com/news/schumer-b...144401818.html

Looks like nothing going to pass this year or next year for the Dream Act community, and Title 42 is going to be included in omnibus.




Senate Majority Leader Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.) announced Thursday morning that he’s reached an agreement with colleagues on amendments to the 4,155-page omnibus so the Senate can pass the bill later in the day and give the House a chance to act Friday.

And it looks like his savior may be independent Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (Ariz.), who on Thursday introduced an amendment to increase border funding and resources for border communities and extend the Title 42 health policy that expedites the deportation of migrants seeking asylum in the United States.

Sinema’s amendment could give political cover to centrist Democrats to vote against a proposal sponsored by Sen. Mike Lee (R-Utah) to cut funding for Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas’s office unless the Biden administration reinstates the Trump-era Title 42 policy.

Democrats say Lee’s amendment would sink the omnibus in the House if it passes the Senate.

Schumer said on the floor that senators and staff had worked until 2 a.m. to work out a deal on amendments but failed to reach one.

Then just before 10 a.m. Schumer announced a deal with Republicans to vote on a block of 15 amendments, giving the Senate a chance to pass the $1.7 trillion omnibus later in the day.

That would give the House a chance to vote Friday to send the legislation to President Biden’s desk.

“We have an agreement now. We will vote on all of the amendments in order and then vote on final passage. It’s taken a while, but it is worth it and I appreciate the cooperation of everyone here,” Schumer announced on the floor.

The block of amendments he announced includes Lee’s proposal and Sinema’s side-by-side amendment, which is cosponsored by Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.).

The massive spending bill stalled Wednesday evening when Lee insisted on getting a vote on his amendment. Republicans argue Title 42 is holding back a deluge of migrants from Venezuela and other countries at the U.S.-Mexico border.

The Supreme Court has temporarily blocked the Biden administration attempt to end Title 42.

Democrats suffered a setback when the parliamentarian ruled that Lee’s amendment is germane to the year-end spending bill, which means it could be attached with only 51 votes or a simple majority.

Republicans think that Sinema and centrist Democrats up for re-election, such as Tester and Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) will be under heavy pressure to vote for Lee’s amendment, which could give it the simple majority it needs to pass.

But with Sinema’s side-by-side amendment, she, Tester, Manchin and other centrist Democrats, such as Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) can vote for it instead of the Lee proposal and fend off Republican attacks that they don’t take the situation at the border seriously.

Her amendment would need to be allowed a simple-majority vote threshold to have a chance of passing. If the parliamentarian rules it needs 60 votes to be attached to the omnibus, it will likely fall away.

Sinema’s proposal would boost border security funding, increase resources for border communities and extend Title 41 until what she calls “a proper plan” to address the flood of migrants is in place.

“This year’s historic levels of border crossings at our Southern border makes clear the status quo is not working. Our amendment boosts funding for border security, increases resources for border communities and extends Title 42 until a proper plan to manage the crisis at our border is in place,” Sinema said in statement.

Transcend 12-22-2022 06:15 PM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
Title 42 extension amendment vote failed. So there is still some chance next year.

hDreamer1988 12-22-2022 06:47 PM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
Quote:
Title 42 extension amendment vote failed. So there is still some chance next year.
The House GOP already said their bills would focus only on securing the border. Unless they can get a commitment from the house leader to bring a bill to the floor, then immigration is DOA

dreamer12345 12-28-2022 08:12 PM
Re: Axios Scoop: Biden administration plotting immigration reform in 2023
 
surely 2023 is our year


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