House "Death List" Leaked: GOP Screwed, Says GOP
 

Great post at DK.

Here are a few of the seats the GOP has already written off as gone:

AK-AL Young
AZ-01 Renzi (open)
FL-24 Feeney
IL-11 Weller (open)
MI-07 Walberg
NV-03 Porter
NC-08 Hayes
NY-13 Fossella (open)
NY-25 Walsh (open)
VA-11 Davis (open)

Under "Rating 2," nine Republican seats are listed as "leaning Democratic." Under "Rating 3," some 22 GOP seats are listed as "true toss-up." The fourth rating, "lean Republican," finds 15 seats in the category that comes with this warning: "If there's a wave, some could be in trouble." The last "likely Republican" rating finds another 11. Only three Democratic districts are seen as "hopeful" GOP pickups. They are Florida 16, Pennsylvania 11, and Texas 22. Another 10 Democratic seats are listed as "possible" pickups.

So the Republicans list 58 seats as competitive on their side, next to 13 on the democratic side.

Re: House "Death List" Leaked: GOP Screwed, Says GOP
 

CA-50: In the San Diego area, even in once solidly conservative district, independents appear to be swinging dramatically to the Democratic Party.

Democratic candidate Nick Leibham, in California's 50th district, currently trails Republican incumbent Brian Bilbray by just two points in his internals, 44% to 42%. Instructively, though, he leads among independents.

Re: House "Death List" Leaked: GOP Screwed, Says GOP
 

what about congresswoman bachmann(R) in MN!? they are pulling out her adds.. She committed political suicide on Hardball..

Re: House "Death List" Leaked: GOP Screwed, Says GOP
 

toss-up......

Re: House "Death List" Leaked: GOP Screwed, Says GOP
 

Here's the full list

Rank Key

5.) Seat is likely to go unless significant turn of events
4.) Leaning Democrat, expect to lose most of these seats unless there's serious change
3.) True toss-up, slight wing could push either way, environment is critical to these races
2.) Leaning Republican, if there's a wave, some could be in trouble
1.) Should be ok but if there's a wave, we could see a surprise.

REPUBLICANS

Rank: 5

AK-AL, Don Young
AZ-01, Open
IL-11, Open
NJ-03, Open
NJ-07, Open
NY-13, Open
NY-25, Open
VA-11, Open
FL-24, Feeney
NY-29, Kuhl
MI-07, Walbert

Rank: 4

MD-01, Open
NM-01, Open
OH-16, Open
CA-04, Open
NC-08, Hayes
CO-04, Musgrave
MI-09, Knollenberg

Rank: 3

CT-04, Shays
IL-10, Kirk
LA-04, Open
MN-03, Open
MO-06, Barnes
NM-02, Open
NV-03, Porter
NY-26, Open
OH-15, Open
WA-08, Reichert
MO-09, Open
OH-01, Chabot
PA-03, English
MN-06, Bachmann
WY-AL, Open
AL-02, Open

Rank: 2

CA-50, Bilbray
FL-08, Keller
FL-13, Buchanan
FL-21, Diaz-Balart
FL-25, Diaz-Balart
IL-06, Roskam
OH-02, Schmidt
PA-06, Gerlach
ID-01, Sali
VA-02, Drake
AZ-03, Shadegg
VA-05, Goode
TX-10, McCaul
NJ-05, Garrett
NE-02, Terry
KY-02, Open
NV-02, Heller

Rank: 1

FL-15, Open
IL-18, Open
PA-18, Murphy
TX-07, Culberson
VA-10, Wolf
OH-07, Open

Re: House "Death List" Leaked: GOP Screwed, Says GOP
 

DEMOCRATS

Rank: 5

FL-16, Mahoney

Rank: 4

None

Rank: 3

AL-05, Open
NH-01, Shea-Porter
PA-10, Carney
TX-22, Lampson

Rank: 2


GA-08, Marshall
WI-08, Kagen
AZ-05, Mitchell
LA-06, Cazayoux
MS-01, Childers
OR-05, Open
PA-11, Kanjorski
KS-02, Boyda

Rank: 1

IN-09, Hill
AZ-08, Giffords
CA-11, McNerney
IL-14, Foster
KY-03, Yarmuth
PA-04, Altimre

Those lists were made by the GOP.

Re: House "Death List" Leaked: GOP Screwed, Says GOP
 

Someone at DailyKos posted some polls that have her opponent at 47 and her at 44. I would still consider that a toss-up though.