Quote:
Originally Posted by daca12
Where is the statistics?
|
See the post below:
Quote:
Originally Posted by cmeow
:format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22504234/Screen_Shot_2021_05_10_at_12.29.22_PM.png)
Democrats actually lost support amongst hispanics in 2020. Republicans gained 8 points from Hispanic voters from 2016 to 2020. The Hispanic group was the biggest group in the "minority" category that went republican, beating any other "minority" category by more than 2x. The biggest gain for Democrats is +3% from white voters from 2016 to 2020.
If you pander to a group about solving an issue for that group and then lose 8% of those voters to the other party, then it's not surprising that the issue is on the low priority list, if on a list at all. If anything, it'd be on the list because "white" voters support DACA (based off of demographic voting data and only looking at the DACA issue). It isn't shocking news, I mean, just browse this forum. Imagine if Biden & Democrats spends all their political capita to get DACA people citizenship tomorrow. There will be DACA people that vote republican in the next election. It's the same reason why hispanic voters went more republican in 2020. DACA is not an important enough issue for hispanic voters.
I am not surprised DACA is taking a back seat for various reasons. If by Oct / Nov rolls around and nothing is happening, then chances of something happening gets lower as time passes. Democrats are in serious risk of losing the legislative branch in 2022. The way state legislators are doing redistricting & voting, republicans will have the house for quite some time if they win. |
If DACA people are legalized and can vote, immigration will no longer be a high priority issue. More important things like healthcare, economy, specific freedoms, etc will come into play. Since the vast majority of DACA holders fall into the "latino" category and that category is shifting republican by twice as much as any minority group from 2016 to 2020, it is a safe assumption to make. There's also studies out there that as people age, they tend to vote more republican. So a DACA person that might vote democrat when they can legally do so, might not be true 2 or even 3 elections down the road.
The republican and democratic party also changes over time. What's true now is not what's true in the future. One party can become better or worse. DACA people would become a normal group of voters based off their needs and the republican party could now, or in the future, promise to fulfill those needs (If you recall, the republican party used to be pro-immigration). There should be no assumption that if DACA are legalized and allowed to vote, they will vote democrat, especially in the long term.