| Malign0n |
07-17-2013 02:02 AM |
Re: New details about tps plan
Quote:
Ranging from a pathway to Citizenship for a few undocumented folks [DREAMers/Agricultural Workers] to extending a large scale temporary "residency" status like TPS
A Plan B of Immigration Reform exists and includes a list of possible scenarios that may be included in the negotiations currently ongoing in D.C.
Monday, Univision.com reported that the talks of reform were stalled in Congress when Republican leadership adopted two rules; discuss a legislative outcome distinct of the Senate Bill that is also supported by the Majority of the Majority (Hastert Rule).
"Under the ruling of the Speaker, John Boehner (R. Ohio), any proposal would require at least 118 Republican legislators and today there aren't currently sufficient votes" said Congressman Joe Garcia (D. FL)
With these facts in mind, there are other possible scenarios. The first, the Supporters of Comprehensive Immigration Reform cede and allow citizenship for only a fraction of the millions of the undocumented; while removing such a pathway and only legalizing the remainder.
The White House, Majority Leader (Harry Reid, D. NV) and Congressman Luis Gutierrez (D. IL) insist on Plan A, the Senate Proposal (legislation with a Pathway to Citizenship), is the only route to take. While keeping mum about alternatives in public not daring to take any less.
Not anticipating victories, Garcia said "that only between 60 and 70 House Republicans "support" a Comprehensive Immigration Reform comparable to the Senate Plan" but he also assures that the Senate Plan is Not Dead. Whoever stumbles on this opportunity loses and the 'Majority of the Majority" would never cede to give Democrats the political victory.
Uncertain Future
"Right now, We are hopeful and are looking forward to the Group of Seven's proposal" says Gaby Pacheco, activist fighting for DREAMers in the US.
Covered by deferred action, a program started by the Obama administration that stops the deportation of undocumented youth who entered the country as children (dreamers) and granted a temporary work permit, Pacheco said that immigration reform could be "divided and voted for in parts " in the House Judiciary Committee," but when the time comes, will join together. "
"The other plan is what we are seeing right now," she added. That immigration reform faces a barrage of amendments in the House and then is finally approved. And then at the Conference Committee, it harmonizes with the Senate version, which includes citizenship, comes from the House of Representatives.
"Could be a tactic", says Pacheco
The activist also mentioned the possibility of a Plan B without residency or without citizenship, as many in Congress are thinking about the mid-term elections of 2014 and 2016 presidential elections, a topic that keep strategists awake in both parties.
A Climate of Nerves
The immigration reform scenarios are complex and are still being drawn in Washington DC
Frank Sharry, executive director of America's Voice, argues that the legislative route is valid and must be exhausted.
But he warned that the conditions imposed by Boehner, "that of the majority of the majority" and he remains standing to anticipate that "is far from an outcome" in a short time.
He indicated that for many Republicans that reform can wait some time, "Until December (of this year) or February or March (of next year). "...after the primaries". But for others the time is running out and there must be decisions made now to fix a broken immigration system.
Sharry, however, said he still "optimistic" of those who do not rush the passage "will do something" before autumn.
Range of options
"There are various options" with the House of Representatives, said. "They (the Republicans) approve of some measures to come to an agreement and to say they did something and share the
"blame" with the Democrats.
"Others don't want to really do anything, nothing." and leave things as they are, Sharry said. But there is a sector that "wants to do something" but cannot under the rule imposed by Boehner.
The group cited by Sharry Garcia is composed of 60 or 70 Republicans that if they join the 95 percent of Democrats who supported the Senate immigration reform, totaling more than the 218 votes needed for the bill to become law. But first he says it must pass the Boehner condition: 118 Republican votes to reach the full reform.
"The only way to do something is with bipartisanship" said Sharry. "And for this they are looking for that majority of the majority or near majority could support something. We are exploring, perhaps in September, perhaps more inclined to reform right than it passed the Senate, but something, "he said.
One such inclinations, following those of America's Voice, could be a plan that does not include residence or citizenship, as we anticipated last week says Republican analyst Helen Aguirre Ferre, immediately the statements were disallowed by Group of Seven of the House who writes a secret plan.
Limited Reform
"There is another idea that is coming, and is the idea of citizenship for some but not for all," Sharry said. "For example dreamers or agricultural workers or who have had TPS for over 10 years."
The Executive Director of America's Voice also mentioned that a measure could be the temporary override of the Law of Punishment for legal permanent residents to petition immediate family members (spouses and minor children unmarried), a measure similar to that authorized in 2012 by Obama Administration and entered into force in March this year.
The punishment law punishable by three years out of the country to remain undocumented plus 180 days without legal stay permit in the United States and 10 years if the unauthorized stay a year passes. The punishment is met from when they go to their countries of origin in search of a green card or green card.
Sharry said that "we will make efforts seeking the most as most Republicans want" and that negotiations continue. "It's up to the Republicans to reach a majority for a proposal" immigration reform.
To achieve this, the House could vote on immigration reform in the fall for a conference committee to harmonize the two versions and, Pacheco said, "pressure" to recover the final version of the Senate plan.
Sharry said that "if they cannot compromise", and that if it fails, then a Plan B could be reached if President Obama uses executive action to adopt a kind of TPS that temporarily legalizes most illegal immigrants.
In the end there may not be a path to citizenship for the 11 million undocumented, perhaps only for 3, 4 or 5 million. Nobody knows. "Negotiations are ongoing," said Sharry.
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