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#26
11-10-2014, 08:36 PM
Senior Member
From Los Angeles
Joined in Jan 2007
1,044 posts
drvenom
Quote:
Originally Posted by Abaddon View Post
I have a prediction! Has it not been the pattern that something serious always derails some kind of legalization path? Any thoughts? Check out my thread on my prediction that E.O. will not materialize!?

http://dreamact.info/forum/showthrea...952#post545952
Your link gives me an access denied page. Even if you are correct about the trend of events, this time we have to consider a relatively big incentive facing Obama, namely his legacy. I believe it to be a relatively big incentive because I don't think he wants to go down as the first black president in history without having done something of significant proportion. We also have the 2016 elections right around the corner. This time, it is well known that the minority vote (including those of Latinos) do in fact have a decisive effect on the election results. I think that that will serve as an incentive for democrats to lend their support on immigration if they want to keep the presidency. These are just two new factors that one needs to consider when looking at changes in the trend of events.

One must also keep in mind that the EO doesn't fit the trend that you point out, just as DACA didn't fit that trend.
__________________
Year arrived and age at time of arrival: 1989, 8
Education level: Two Master's (Econ and Math); Can't afford a PhD.
DACA: I was too old by 5 days.
Expanded Daca: I should be good now.
Bitter? Optimistic
Last edited by drvenom; 11-10-2014 at 08:38 PM..
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