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Originally Posted by Ianus
A summary in picture form...
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He won't lose too big, really considering the red/blue state divide these days (and how they get progressively more blue) he'll carry quite a bit of states. But he'd carry those even if he were to grow a toothbrush mustache and call for genocide.
Battlegrounds for this election are basically (in order of electors, highest to lowest):
Florida - 29 (Lean dem, historically a toss up)
Pennsylvania - 20 (Lean dem, historically a toss up)
Ohio - 18 (Lean dem, historically a toss up)
Georgia - 16 (Lean rep, historically rep, unlikely that it might swing but possible)
North Carolina -15 (Lean dem, historically rep, recently a toss up)
Arizona - 11 (Lean rep, historically rep but turning bluer every year, might swing, basically follow what happened to NM a while back)
Iowa - 6 (Lean dem, historically dem)
Nevada - 6 (Lean dem, historically dem)
New Hampshire - 4 (Lean dem, historically dem)
Nebraska-2 - 1 (Lean rep, historically rep, Obama grabbed it in 2008)
Judging on today's predictions Clinton has sure 249 electors for her (states that are very solid dem, or extremely unlikely to swing). So she only needs 21 more in order to get the nomination. So she needs Florida only, or one of the major swingers and then some 1 other state. (E.g. PA + NH).
Trump would need to get a majority of the above to win. He only has 163 sure electors for himself, meaning that needs 107 to secure the nomination. There's 126 of them in play. Even if we give him GA and AZ he needs 80 out of 99. You do the math.
Guy doesn't stand a snowballs chance in hell. This is the official beginning of the end of the GOP, people. They had the chance to run a centrist and move away from the extreme right, they run this clownstick and he has no chance with swing voters. As much as Fox likes to show Cubans and the token black guy in a MAGA hat, that's that. They'll also lose the senate (I predict 53-47 in Dem favor). They might hang onto the house just barely due to all the gerrymandering. But guess what 2020 is another presidential election, and Clinton will win again and if Dems get into state chambers they'll be able to redistrict to keep republicans out of power for good.
After that it's the final solution. We go after their home states. We go after fucking Texas, the last state they hold that is worth a fuck and the only state they cannot afford to lose.
As someone here said why is Texas so afraid of DAPA? Because you can piss in someone's ear only for so long. DAPA would equal thousands if not millions of new LPRs and new citizens after 5 years, citizens on whom the GOP has shit on for a very long time who are in voting age, and they will return the favor. Same thing with the I-601A expansion, but that has slipped through the cracks. They knew that if DAPA was allowed to move in 2015, they'd be ready by 2020, and bye bye Texas.
We will win this election. We will win the next one. We will keep the fuckers from power, and we will take their last bastion. Blue Texas will happen, and it will happen thanks to Donald John Trump.