If Sinema is up against Ward, definitely. I think she'd have a more difficult time if Republicans nominate somebody else, but i'd still consider it a toss-up.

The state is changing, we'll have to see if the change is fast enough for next years elections. And while the state is Republican now, it's a more libertarian type of Republican and Sinema has shown that she can work both sides of the aisle.

And we can't forget that Arizona gave us the very Democrat that signed off on DACA, Janet Napolitano. Napolitano won two terms for governor (although she didn't finish her second term) in a even more Republican state than it is now.

If any Democrat can win that senate seat next year, it's Sinema.