I'm liking the odds. Been scanning uber-right wing outlets and they've been mum on Amnesty or the "danger of Amnesty". Fox unusually moderate on dreamers, Ann and Lou getting shit on by MAGA cultists for not backing Trump on compromise. They want the appearance of a win on this and China, so they'll polish that turd real good and serve it to their base as succulent foie gras
The wild cards:
Dems. are actually serious about not compromising on the wall and not just bluffing.
Trump doing the shut down to slow down Mueller
Trump actually creating chaos on order from the Kremlin.