Quote:
Originally Posted by Imthexman
If I were a Trump adviser I would advice him to immediately offer the dream act (which is the minimum the House Dems would consider at this point) for 25 Billion for the wall.
With these two items he could portrait himself as a hero for his base and and a Hero for the Hispanic community, which altogether would increase his chances to get re-elected.
Off course this is not going to happen because we live in a George Costanza world where everyone does everything the opposite of what makes sense lol.
But even Trump does this, he would still have to deal with the hard left Dems (whom would want all sort of crazy additions to the Bill, add parents, other immigrants etc.) and the hard left Reps (whom would also want to add crazy additions to the bill: eliminate family based immigration, increase deportations, etc.)
Sadly enough I think passing something before November has greater chances than passing something in the future, specially because the Republicans, Trump would benefit if something passes now.
After the election and Even if Biden wins and the Dems keep the house, the turtle will still hold the senate and he will not allow a vote on anything related to immigration. And I don't even want to think what would happen if Trump wins again.
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Democrats can swing the senate tbh. They need a net of +3 seats if they also snag the presidency (since VP is the tiebreaker for control).
AL - Doug Jones is most likely toast so that puts it at 4 seats they need to snag.
CO - Cory Gardner is toast. There's no sugarcoating this one.
ME - Susan Collins is probably toast, polls coming out of ME aren't great for her and the only reason why the race is still rated as toss-up is because she's a 4 term senator and democratic senate primary hasn't taken place yet (June 12th) so they kinda have to do Collins vs Generic Democrat.
AZ - Rated lean D. The McSally lost the 2018 election for the other seat, she's running against a very popular democrat.
NC - Thom Tillis is very unpopular back home, a popular democratic governor is also running for re-election.
Other stuff that's on the board are IA, MT, GA special, and maybe KS depending on who wins the republican primary since everyone's favorite Nazi Kobach managed to lose the governor seat to a democrat.
That being said, this will probably be a tight election for the senate and not a 2006 style blowout.