Quote:
Originally Posted by cmeow
His election right now solely depends on how bad coronavirus is or can get until election and how well main street is doing. He still has some time. The stock market going up with record high unemployment doesn't make a lot of sense. Wall street has essentially decoupled from main street due to FED's policies. People will vote on how well they're doing personally (finance wise, health wise), not how high the stock market is.
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Here's Trump's strong points in my opinion, rising stock market (I'm not at all giving him all the credit, the market was bound to come up after monumental dip. It's going to continue rising of COVID subsides). Also if COVID subsides, the jobs data will be very strong and this will help him. His continued pressure on being "tough" on China. With regards to immigration, the supporters have seen he has tried but SCOTUS has stopped him in doing what they want him to do (so they won't be upset at his failures). The COVID crisis is like the perfect set up for him. Things go down and then as they are coming up he can say "Look guys..we need to get back up so vote me in again and we will make america great again like we did before!"
Now if I was him, I would push immediately for a solution on Dreamers to try and corner the Dems and hope that they won't do anything so he can say "Look hispanics..I tried but Democrats want to continue using you guys".
I'm telling you from experience..I live in VERY liberal state but there are a lot of pockets, rural areas that are increasingly conservative. Its only the big cities that make our state go blue.
Biden's key to victory lies in three things...Obama's heavy involvement behind the scenes, the VP he picks (In my opinion STACY ABRAMS is the best pick right now. It has to be a young person, and its most likely going to be a woman, maybe KEISHA LANCE BOTTOMS), and getting people to come out and vote (Hillary did not do that).