Originally Posted by Marco956

Yea WI was particularly bad. The last RCP average was Hillary up by 6.5 and she lost by 0.7. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...tein-5976.html

In PA, Hillary was up 1.8 in the RCP average, but she lost by 0.7 which is well within the margin of error. In Michigan, Clinton was up by 3.4 in the average and lost by 0.3 also within the margin of error.

Something else to note is that Clinton hardly ever broke the 50% threshold in most polls. Biden's lead is much bigger than Clinton ever had. With 4 months, Trump can definitely come back and make things much closer though (and ultimately win).