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Top Pollster Just Gave Hillary Clinton Some Really Bad News

#1
07-27-2016, 10:42 AM
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http://usuncut.com/politics/donald-t...on-projection/
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Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.com, who is widely regarded as one of the top political pollsters in the country, has released a new model that shows Trump shellacking Hillary Clinton, with the projected chance of victory for Trump standing at a margin of 13.4 points.

In terms of raw electoral college votes, Silver’s map shows Trump finishing with 283 electoral college votes to Clinton’2 253, if the election were held today. A candidate needs 270 electoral college votes to win. Trump also wins key swing states like Florida, Iowa, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. Clinton’s only swing state wins are Colorado and Virginia, according to FiveThirtyEight’s projections.
silvermap

FiveThirtyEight’s election projections for a Clinton/Trump general election matchup.

Silver’s projection comes at a particularly bad time for Clinton, as Monday marks the first day of the Democratic National Convention, and establishment Democrats are still desperately pleading with Bernie Sanders’ army of delegates and protesters for party unity.

The poll marks the first time FiveThirtyEight has projected the Republican nominee will beat the presumptive Democratic nominee. Clinton’s favorability has slowly evaporated over time, while Trump is benefitting from a post-convention bump in the polls.

However, when leaving out polls taken immediately after the Republican National Convention, Clinton beats Trump by 7 points. Clinton gets an additional 11-point boost when factoring in economic and historical data, according to Silver’s models.

Clinton has a steep hill to climb at this week’s Democratic National Convention. The DNC begins on the heels of a crippling scandal showing top Democratic Party officials openly mocking Bernie Sanders while devising plans to secure the nomination for Clinton behind the scenes.

In a June poll cited by Bloomberg, roughly half of Sanders’ supporters did not intend to vote for Clinton in November.
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#2
07-27-2016, 01:01 PM
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Good news, Trump will be able to pass CIR and save all the good dreamers from deportation.

I hope this momentum grows heading to the 2016 election.
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#3
07-27-2016, 01:32 PM
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Is Brah another fly following Trumps' shit ? Also, isn't that guy the same one who predicted Hillary will win ? WTF is going on?
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#4
07-27-2016, 02:15 PM
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I think hes just being ironic
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#5
07-27-2016, 05:16 PM
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I'm not too worried since this the poll was taken before the Democratic convention. Hopefully Hillary will also gain a post convention bump.
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#6
07-27-2016, 07:16 PM
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I actually saw this, but then saw a reevaluated version of it I think yesterday where everything cycled back to Hillary having a 57% chance of winning enough electoral votes...or something similar to how I described it

Just check 538's electoral map details, it seems to update regularly.

There are a variety of methods analyzing the polls too on the 538 site like something called Now Casting polling results etc.
Last edited by VeryNicePerson1; 07-27-2016 at 07:19 PM..
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#7
07-27-2016, 07:45 PM
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I only like my trump news from Chyno.
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#8
07-27-2016, 10:03 PM
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Originally Posted by Dres2011 View Post
I only like my trump news from Chyno.

like you like your men?
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#9
07-27-2016, 10:30 PM
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Originally Posted by zone2oo0 View Post
like you like your men?
You got 5 sources for that?
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#10
07-27-2016, 10:45 PM
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And screenshots of the site with red boxes over text ?
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 2Face View Post
I personally knew that if he wins he's not going to be touching DACA.
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2Face View Post
I hope Trump wins second term.
Quote:
Originally Posted by BestBefore1984 View Post
Tranny is not derogatory term dummy
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