Is the House on the verge of passing a ‘dreamers’ bill? Be very skeptical.

Swim19 · 05-14-2018, 06:44 PM

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The fact that Republicans are challenging their own leaders to get something done on immigration is remarkable, but their challenge is still a long shot. “The chance that it will work is so small that this is really a Hail Mary,” said Alex Nowrasteh, an immigration policy analyst with the libertarian Cato Institute.

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1. Those last seven GOP lawmakers will be much harder to get than the first 18: So far 18 Republicans have signed onto the discharge petition (that's the petition's parliamentary name). Once 25 Republicans sign on, all 193 Democrats are expected to, as well, and that would be enough to force a vote over leadership's objections.

But the first 18 GOP lawmakers was the easy part; many of the Republicans who immediately signed onto this petition found it a political no-brainer. They represent swing districts or districts with a high population of dreamers. At least four signatories are retiring.

The rest of Republican lawmakers face a much more difficult decision on whether to buck leadership, said Molly Reynolds, a congressional expert with Brookings Institution, in an email: “Majority party legislators are often afraid of the consequences of undermining the power of their party leaders to make decisions about what gets considered on the floor.”

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2. Some Republicans see this as biting the hand that feeds them:
Rep. Don Bacon (R-Neb.) is facing a competitive reelection in a year where Democrats are performing exceptionally well. He'd really like his party's help in November to keep his job.

Lawmakers like Bacon have calculated that that means keeping Ryan happy. Even though Ryan is retiring, he's still a prolific fundraiser; just last week Politico reported he played a role in getting GOP mega-donor Sheldon Adelson to sign a massive $30 million check to a House Republican super PAC.

“I feel like it puts our leadership in a bad spot,” Bacon told The Post's Mike DeBonis on Thursday when explaining why he's not ready to sign the petition.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...=.f0b80e9b1e87

Pianoswithoutfaith · 05-15-2018, 02:10 AM

Come on we need 7 more baby

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22	23	24	25	26	27	28

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Is the House on the verge of passing a ‘dreamers’ bill? Be very skeptical.