The 2008 senate elections thread - Page 17

Rasmussen. 10/8. Likely voters. MoE 4%. (9/23 results)

Hagan (D) 49 (4
Dole (R) 44 (45)

Hurry up, Election Day!

'The Waiting' by Tom Petty

Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 10/14-15. Likely voters. MoE 4% (9/8-10 results)

Wicker (R) 47 (4
Musgrove (D) 46 (43)



DK :

12 percent of African Americans remain undecided (for the presidential question as well, suggesting that these individuals didn't feel comfortable talking to a pollster -- evidence of the "reverse Bradley" effect that undercounted Obama's support in the polls in Southern states during the primary). Those black "undecided" voters should be worth another two points for Musgrove. So the rest of the margin will need to come from either white voters, or increased turnout among African Americans.

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Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 10/14-15. Likely voters. MoE 4% (5/5-7 results)

Cornyn (R) 50 (4
Noriega (D) 44 (44)
Adams (L) 2 (n/a)

Still an uphill battle, but there still hope.


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GA:

Sen: Chambliss (R-i) 47, Martin (D) 45, Buckley (L) 5

so what are the good news?


Early vote totals have now reached 499,582 -- about 75,000 more than were cast early in all of 2004. (The state is also newly encouraging early voting this year, so that's a major factor.)

And the ratio of African-American voters remains extremely high: 37% of the early votes were cast by black voters, who make up just 29% of the state's electorate.


http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmi...s.html?showall

Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 10/15-16. Likely voters. MoE 4% (9/15-17 results)

McConnell (R) 46 (50)
Lunsford (D) 42 (37)

KY Senate. great news

SurveyUSA
10/18-20/08; 535 LV, 4.3%
Mode: IVR

McConnell : 48 %

Lunsford : 48%

unbelievable


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Civitas Institute/Tel Opinion Research (R)
10/18-20/08; 600 LV, 4.2%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
NC:

Sen: Hagan (D) 44, Dole (R-i) 41, Cole (L) 4



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Not senate race but we need this asshole out of the House

CA-50: Bilbray (R) in serious trouble


Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Nick Leibham. 10/13-14. Likely voters. MoE 4.9% (4/24-27 numbers).

Bilbray (R) 44 (56)
Leibham (D) 42 (34)


If you dont know who Bilbray is, he is one of FAIR's consultants in congress and they have poured a bunch of money in his campaign in the past. This guy is worse than Tom Tancredo.

US v. Stevens went to jury today. A decision is expected tomorrow.

New York Times:

If Stevens is acquitted, he will likely win reelection, although that is not guaranteed. If convicted, he will lose.

Meanwhile in KY the DSCC has a new ad against McConnell:

Latest Alaska poll

Rasmussen Reports

Alaska 10/28; 500 LV, 4.5%
Sen: Begich (D) 52, Stevens (R-i) 44, Bird (I) 3

After all this waiting D' Day is almost here!

ok so we're finally here.

I'm not gonna post a last poll of all the senate candidates, im guessing if you are like me you are sick and tired of seen polls on the internetzzz and tv

anyway here's my last prediction (which is pretty much what DK is predicting with the difference that i think we can win GA and not a worry about runoff)

58 Democrats, 40 Republicans, 2 Independents

AK: Begich (D) by 15
CO: Udall (D) by 14
GA:Martin (D) by 5 --> come on Atlanta dont fail me!!!!!!!
KY: McConnell (R) by 3
ME: Collins (R) by 12
MN: Franken (D) by 4
MS-B: Wicker (R) by 4
NH: Shaheen (D) by 10
NM: Udall (D) by 19
NC: Hagan (D) by 6
OR: Merkley (D) by 10
VA: Warner (D) by 30

House

Democrats 268, Republicans 167

This is it.

we either get enough good senators and congressmen or we're screwed.