Clinton Polls Up Again!!! - Page 2

2Face is a republican guys

He is 100% accurate with presidential elections my friend. Trumps chances are diminishing by the hour. He's definitely not an authority figure but his analysis has substance. Plus, I'm also saying this based on my overall experience living in this country or the past 16 years. I don't see a Republican president for the next 10-20 years in this country. Hillary is our next President. There is absolutely no doubt about this. She is going to win all the battleground states effectively killing Trump by a huge margin.

F**k yeah!

A summary in picture form...

He won't lose too big, really considering the red/blue state divide these days (and how they get progressively more blue) he'll carry quite a bit of states. But he'd carry those even if he were to grow a toothbrush mustache and call for genocide.

Battlegrounds for this election are basically (in order of electors, highest to lowest):
Florida - 29 (Lean dem, historically a toss up)
Pennsylvania - 20 (Lean dem, historically a toss up)
Ohio - 18 (Lean dem, historically a toss up)
Georgia - 16 (Lean rep, historically rep, unlikely that it might swing but possible)
North Carolina -15 (Lean dem, historically rep, recently a toss up)
Arizona - 11 (Lean rep, historically rep but turning bluer every year, might swing, basically follow what happened to NM a while back)
Iowa - 6 (Lean dem, historically dem)
Nevada - 6 (Lean dem, historically dem)
New Hampshire - 4 (Lean dem, historically dem)
Nebraska-2 - 1 (Lean rep, historically rep, Obama grabbed it in 2008)

Judging on today's predictions Clinton has sure 249 electors for her (states that are very solid dem, or extremely unlikely to swing). So she only needs 21 more in order to get the nomination. So she needs Florida only, or one of the major swingers and then some 1 other state. (E.g. PA + NH).

Trump would need to get a majority of the above to win. He only has 163 sure electors for himself, meaning that needs 107 to secure the nomination. There's 126 of them in play. Even if we give him GA and AZ he needs 80 out of 99. You do the math.

Guy doesn't stand a snowballs chance in hell. This is the official beginning of the end of the GOP, people. They had the chance to run a centrist and move away from the extreme right, they run this clownstick and he has no chance with swing voters. As much as Fox likes to show Cubans and the token black guy in a MAGA hat, that's that. They'll also lose the senate (I predict 53-47 in Dem favor). They might hang onto the house just barely due to all the gerrymandering. But guess what 2020 is another presidential election, and Clinton will win again and if Dems get into state chambers they'll be able to redistrict to keep republicans out of power for good.


After that it's the final solution. We go after their home states. We go after fucking Texas, the last state they hold that is worth a fuck and the only state they cannot afford to lose.

As someone here said why is Texas so afraid of DAPA? Because you can piss in someone's ear only for so long. DAPA would equal thousands if not millions of new LPRs and new citizens after 5 years, citizens on whom the GOP has shit on for a very long time who are in voting age, and they will return the favor. Same thing with the I-601A expansion, but that has slipped through the cracks. They knew that if DAPA was allowed to move in 2015, they'd be ready by 2020, and bye bye Texas.

We will win this election. We will win the next one. We will keep the fuckers from power, and we will take their last bastion. Blue Texas will happen, and it will happen thanks to Donald John Trump.

DEMISE FOR PRESIDENT!!!

I totally agree with you. Texas will go blue eventually. Look at the voting around Houston and its all blue. The more econimcally diverse and powerful a state becomes the more blue it becomes. Its just a matrer of time. During the primaries the dems got 160257 less votes than the gop according to the texas tribune.

God bless Trump for this

who needs that silver guy when there's Demise!

More about how they do it at five thirty eight:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/...tion-forecast/

Seems like they were able to control/forecast most things.
I bet the model is crazy though.

Trump is going to lose by an electoral landslide. Hillary, at the very least, will match Obama's 2008 results. I doubt that though, I think she will win by 10 points. Trump has pissed off a lot of people from the obvious uber liberals, to latinos, African Americans (last poll had him at 1% support), muslims etc. Even centrists are appalled by him and moderate Republicans as well as foreign policy and military Republicans. Trump has appealed to the lowest common denominator of the Republican party. He brought these people out of the armpit of the party and is giving them a platform. After Hillary wins, Prebius will probably be out. They will perform another autopsy of the defeat again to come to the realization that they need to appeal to a broader and changing electoral. Will they do this? I think they have no choice. The electorate will be vastly different after 8 years of Hillary.