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Clinton, Trump All but Tied as Enthusiasm Dips for Democratic Candidate

#1
11-01-2016, 04:57 PM
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Trump up by 1 point a week before the election and his poll numbers are still going up.


Quote:
Strong enthusiasm for Hillary Clinton has ebbed since the renewal of the FBI’s email investigation.

While vote preferences have held essentially steady, she’s now a slim point behind Donald Trump — a first since May — in the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates.

In the latest results, 46 percent of likely voters support Trump, and 45 percent are for Clinton. With the data taken to a decimal place for illustrative purposes, a mere 0.7 of a percentage point divides them.

Third-party candidate Gary Johnson has 3 percent, a new low; Jill Stein, 2 percent.

See PDF with full results here.


Trump now leads Clinton by 8 points in the share of voters who are very enthusiastic about their choice as of Friday. But compared with past elections, it’s low for both of them — 53 percent for Trump, 45 percent for Clinton.

Strong enthusiasm for Clinton has lost 7 points since the start of tracking, especially Friday through Sunday. This is possibly an effect of the renewed controversy over her use of a private email server while secretary of state. Trump’s strong enthusiasm has held steady in tracking, which started Oct. 20.


Close

The 1 point Clinton-Trump race is well within the survey’s margin of sampling error. Combining the last seven nights — across which results have been very stable — the results flip to 46 percent Clinton, 45 percent Trump, with a 0.4 point gap. Again, it is not a significant difference.

Either way, the results are exceedingly close. Trump’s 1 point lead is a noteworthy result; he has led Clinton just once before, up 2 points in late May (among registered voters in a two-way test), after he clinched the GOP nomination while Clinton was still in a duel with Bernie Sanders in the Democratic race.

Although the election is close at this point, vote preference results a week out are not necessarily predictive of the final result. Mitt Romney was up 1 versus Barack Obama in comparable tracking poll results in 2012, for example, and John Kerry was ahead by 1 against George Bush a week out in 2004.

Source: http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/clint...ry?id=43199459
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#2
11-01-2016, 06:31 PM
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bla bla bla bla yadi yadi yada bla bla blabla

Hillary 2016!!
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#3
11-01-2016, 10:44 PM
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bigdreamer2010
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False. Check out NYT and scroll down to "How Other Forecasts Compare". You can see the general consensus among the aggregators is for a Hillary win. Not even close

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2...tionfront&_r=0
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#4
11-01-2016, 10:58 PM
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I wont claim victory until it's 11/8/2016 at 11:59 PM and it says she won. Until then my stress levels will increase higher and higher until I cannot rest or relax.
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#5
11-01-2016, 11:28 PM
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vivace
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Well, we enjoyed a good lead for a while, but people really wanna #MAGA, you know?
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#6
11-03-2016, 04:12 AM
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tf2legend
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Check out 538
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#7
11-03-2016, 09:02 AM
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Sorrybrah
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It was a good DACA run fellas, wish it could've been more permanent but eyyy.
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#8
11-03-2016, 12:32 PM
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magdation1
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SO let's talk seriously, if Trump wins what should we do? do you think our EOD will stop immediately when he reverses the executive action?
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#9
11-03-2016, 03:25 PM
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turmalina
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I heard the opposite today, Hillary up by one point. lol

Eff this election, such a clusterfuck!
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#10
11-03-2016, 03:39 PM
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The only reason for me wishing she wins is personal interest, knowing she will at least keep DACA alive and at best push for CIR.

But other than that, I personally see her as an unscrupulous woman who will do actual damage to this country in the long run.

PS Trump can go to hell too, but at least his foreign policy proposals are sensible.
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