CIR Redefined

Ianus · 09:13 PM

There is a speculative piece on CIR posted by the website ILW.They also give their reasons as to what particular parts of CIR would likely be in the bill & why.

Quote:

CIR Redefined: Comprehensive Immigration Reform as formulated for almost a decade, and as delineated in McCain-Kennedy and Kennedy-Kyl, has three parts: Legalization, Enforcement, Increased legal channels. Lets see what each of these meant and how that meaning will change in the 111th Congress. Legalization includes some way to bring into legal status the vast majority of the undocumented population, frequently in mixed-status families (with undocumented, LPRs and USCs), it also includes DREAM. This part of CIR remains unchanged in the new Congress. Enforcement includes massive border expenditure, massively increased enforcement in the interior especially against errant employers and an employment card (a de facto national ID card). This part of CIR remains largely unchanged, however there will be less emphasis on border security and more emphasis on anti-employer measures. Increased legal channels has two sub parts - increased permanent immigration quotas for both family-based and employment-based (particularly large increases for employment-based) and increased temporary employment-based immigration quotas for both skilled and unskilled workers (massive numbers for the unskilled). This part of CIR will be changed almost beyond recognition. Increases in permanent numbers will likely be postponed for the distant future, those legalized may have to wait for a decade or two before naturalizing. This will have the unintended effect of exacerbating the waiting times for employment-based immigration from India, China, Mexico and Phillipines, with EB3 for India and China becoming essentially extinct until Congress returns to this issue. The biggest change will likely be in temporary employment-based immigration. Gone is the hope for increased H1B numbers, gone also is the idea that CIR will address the single-most dysfunctional part of our immigration system - a lack of legal channels for unskilled workers. The original draft of McCain-Kennedy made provisions for 400,000 temporary unskilled visas per year, the Senate cut it in half before passing McCain-Kennedy to the House which refused to even discuss it. The left-wing 111th Congress is unlikely to make any provisions at all for temporary employment numbers, especially in the midst of a severe economic recession. One exception will be that CIR will still include AgJOBS, which will likely be the only sop to increased legal channels once promised under the CIR banner.........

...........With Democrats controlling 58% of the membership in the new Senate and 59% in the new House, immigration politics are about to be changed to a great degree.

I am not sure I agree with the last statement.The politics surrounding Immigration didn't really change in the 110th from the 109th & I expect it to remain the same in the 111th Congress.

BTW,Merry Christmas to everyone,lol !

verve · 12-25-2008, 05:28 AM

happy holidays dude. Thanks for posting new articles all the time.

MAGraduate · 12-25-2008, 01:32 PM

There won't be any CIR - guestworker program so yes some pieces of it would be taken out.

Happy Holidays.

jamesp · 12-26-2008, 04:54 PM

CIR won't be passed if guestworker provision is not taken out, given the current economic downturn. Most americans would accept a "earned legalization" program but a massive influx of new guestworker would definitely be a hard sell.

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CIR Redefined