Official Election News Thread Nov. 3rd - Nov. 7th 2020 - Page 112
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Originally Posted by IamAman
I'd imagine a lot of his fans will be jumping ship but we can't forget who they were...in real life at least. I know which one of my neighbors have Trump flags and when it's a big stigma to admit they were Trump supporters, I'll remember them. Not borrowing any of my tools ya bastards.
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Originally Posted by lalaland45
I think it’s the other way around. Trump got 54% of the votes
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Originally Posted by hDreamer1988
There are 100k provisional ballots left to count and they have favored Trump so far.
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| It’s worth emphasizing, though, that Trump would have to do massively, massively well with the provisional ballots to overcome his deficit in the state. Once the remaining mail ballots are counted, Biden’s lead could expand to somewhere between, say, 50,000 and 80,000 votes in Pennsylvania. If there are 100,000 provisionals and Trump needed to claw back 50,000 votes — which is probably an optimistic case for him — that means he’d need to win them by 50 points (that is, 75-25), even though they’re mostly in blue counties. That is exceptionally unlikely. |
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Originally Posted by Swim19
But unlikely to be enough...many of those provisional ballots are in blue areas. This is from the 538 blog:
It’s worth emphasizing, though, that Trump would have to do massively, massively well with the provisional ballots to overcome his deficit in the state. Once the remaining mail ballots are counted, Biden’s lead could expand to somewhere between, say, 50,000 and 80,000 votes in Pennsylvania. If there are 100,000 provisionals and Trump needed to claw back 50,000 votes — which is probably an optimistic case for him — that means he’d need to win them by 50 points (that is, 75-25), even though they’re mostly in blue counties. That is exceptionally unlikely. |
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