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DAP Forums > DREAM Act > The News Room

Official Georgia Senate Runoff Election Thread - Page 3

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#21
01-05-2021, 08:56 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Copper View Post
Thanks Swim for the updates. I’m surprised not many Dreamers interested in this election.
No problem
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#22
01-05-2021, 08:59 PM
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Exit polls indicate Young Ossoff looking good with votes of color. Perdue looking good with white voters with college degree. We are surely headed down to the wire here!
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#23
01-05-2021, 09:02 PM
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Not looking good for dems. Most absentee ballots have already been counted and those are where most of the dem votes come from
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#24
01-05-2021, 09:11 PM
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@Nate_Cohn
Warnock now estimated to lead by a point, according to our estimates. He's running slightly ahead of expectations across all methods only good news for GOP is that the election day vt is about 5% higher than expected, but that doesn't quite work out

The key question: how representative is the vote? Can GOP run ahead of what's left, even though they've run behind in what's counted? We try and control for that demographically, but you never know

The key area of uncertainty is the election day vote. So far we only have 22k election day votes. They can do better with what's left
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#25
01-05-2021, 09:13 PM
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Swim who do you think might win it all?
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#26
01-05-2021, 09:16 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cooltalker View Post
These races don't really matter for us. We need more than 60 Dems in senate to overcome filibuster and remember that a few Dems will not vote in our favor so need to account for that also.


Pretty much expect a re-run of Obama's last term.
But if Warnock and Ossof win, Mitchy won’t be in charge any more. That will be huge...
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#27
01-05-2021, 09:19 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Copper View Post
Swim who do you think might win it all?
I am hopeful...I will just say that
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#28
01-05-2021, 09:25 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Swim19 View Post
I am hopeful...I will just say that
Hopeful is definitely than no hope so I’m definitely with ya!
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01-05-2021, 09:45 PM
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Fucking hell the Dems might pull this off!
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#30
01-05-2021, 09:50 PM
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@Taniel
Washington County is the first county so far to flip from Perdue in November to Ossoff today.

Perdue carried it by 1.7% in November. Ossoff carried it by 2.4% today, so a net swing of 4.1%.
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