wait for the lameduck

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By Brad Bernstein
President/Immigration Attorney, The Law Offices of Spar & Bernstein

If you’re waiting for any kind of immigration reform, as we all have for longer than we ever expected, you better be prepared to be patient for at least another few more months.

I’ve been convinced for quite a while that nothing, except maybe some sweet-sounding lip service, will happen until the November elections are over and done with.

Only then will left-leaning politicians show a little guts and dare touch that political third rail.

If I’m reading the political tea leaves correctly, the election results will bring in a lot of new faces and a lot of conservative ones, which, I don’t have to tell you, doesn’t bode well for comprehensive immigration reform.

So, here’s what I think will happen: at best, in that brief, lame-duck window between the old and new Congress, only a sliver of immigration reform will get passed – just like the last time pro-immigration reform passed (i.e., section 245i extension) after the 2000 elections, when Congress was in a lame duck session before George Bush came into office.

You see, lame duck sessions, are like truth serum, as voted-out politicians with no further political aspirations and those politicians retiring for good can actually vote their conscience, if not their hearts and souls, rather than give into mere politics and simply tote the party line.

My guess is that the level of immigration reform we’ll see at the end of this year will be just enough to quasi-satisfy Obama’s constituency, yet not enough to enrage those sitting on the fence.

In other words, passing something like the DREAM Act – and that’s it.

I wish I felt differently.

I wish I had better news for you.

I wish a lot of things about immigration.

But wishing won’t make it so.

if we get Mccain's support we can do DA, if it looks like we cant get some GOP on our side then forget about it, another year wasted comes with another year full of hope i guess :\

USCIS should work on TPS also for DREAMers. There has been news about that on that leaked memo.

The DREAM act is all we need. Passing the dream act would give us a voice and if we have a voice, we can fight for immigration reform, we can fight for those in the shadows. The DREAM act would change everything. And maybe I'm speaking for myself but I don't think my work is over if the DREAM Act passes in November... It's just beginning.

They passed 245i in the Clinton Admin and DA is more like 'earned' status in the USA.

things were gravy back then.

yes! just pass the DA now!
and of course the DA is just a step to the immigration reform like many others are saying.

I totally agree with the author. No further comment

I guess the keyword is wait. (I don't mean wait idly by but just wait for November to get here; it will get here.)

McCain's primary is next week; hopefully this thing will be over with him. I don't see him changing what he's been saying about border security, but I know deep down he still believes in what is right. He's been careful with his words and he has never said anything about no immigration reform. We will have to wait and see I guess.

Well that's what we dreamers do best; wait.