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-   -   Clinton, Trump All but Tied as Enthusiasm Dips for Democratic Candidate (http://dreamact.info/forum/showthread.php?t=74647)

MIdreamer 11-01-2016 04:57 PM

Clinton, Trump All but Tied as Enthusiasm Dips for Democratic Candidate
 
Trump up by 1 point a week before the election and his poll numbers are still going up.


Quote:

Strong enthusiasm for Hillary Clinton has ebbed since the renewal of the FBI’s email investigation.

While vote preferences have held essentially steady, she’s now a slim point behind Donald Trump — a first since May — in the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates.

In the latest results, 46 percent of likely voters support Trump, and 45 percent are for Clinton. With the data taken to a decimal place for illustrative purposes, a mere 0.7 of a percentage point divides them.

Third-party candidate Gary Johnson has 3 percent, a new low; Jill Stein, 2 percent.

See PDF with full results here.


Trump now leads Clinton by 8 points in the share of voters who are very enthusiastic about their choice as of Friday. But compared with past elections, it’s low for both of them — 53 percent for Trump, 45 percent for Clinton.

Strong enthusiasm for Clinton has lost 7 points since the start of tracking, especially Friday through Sunday. This is possibly an effect of the renewed controversy over her use of a private email server while secretary of state. Trump’s strong enthusiasm has held steady in tracking, which started Oct. 20.


Close

The 1 point Clinton-Trump race is well within the survey’s margin of sampling error. Combining the last seven nights — across which results have been very stable — the results flip to 46 percent Clinton, 45 percent Trump, with a 0.4 point gap. Again, it is not a significant difference.

Either way, the results are exceedingly close. Trump’s 1 point lead is a noteworthy result; he has led Clinton just once before, up 2 points in late May (among registered voters in a two-way test), after he clinched the GOP nomination while Clinton was still in a duel with Bernie Sanders in the Democratic race.

Although the election is close at this point, vote preference results a week out are not necessarily predictive of the final result. Mitt Romney was up 1 versus Barack Obama in comparable tracking poll results in 2012, for example, and John Kerry was ahead by 1 against George Bush a week out in 2004.

Source: http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/clint...ry?id=43199459


2MoreYears 11-01-2016 06:31 PM

Re: Clinton, Trump All but Tied as Enthusiasm Dips for Democratic Candidate
 
bla bla bla bla yadi yadi yada bla bla blabla

Hillary 2016!!

bigdreamer2010 11-01-2016 10:44 PM

Re: Clinton, Trump All but Tied as Enthusiasm Dips for Democratic Candidate
 
False. Check out NYT and scroll down to "How Other Forecasts Compare". You can see the general consensus among the aggregators is for a Hillary win. Not even close

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2...tionfront&_r=0

DogJuiceMan 11-01-2016 10:58 PM

Re: Clinton, Trump All but Tied as Enthusiasm Dips for Democratic Candidate
 
I wont claim victory until it's 11/8/2016 at 11:59 PM and it says she won. Until then my stress levels will increase higher and higher until I cannot rest or relax.

vivace 11-01-2016 11:28 PM

Re: Clinton, Trump All but Tied as Enthusiasm Dips for Democratic Candidate
 
Well, we enjoyed a good lead for a while, but people really wanna #MAGA, you know?

tf2legend 11-03-2016 04:12 AM

Re: Clinton, Trump All but Tied as Enthusiasm Dips for Democratic Candidate
 
Check out 538

Sorrybrah 11-03-2016 09:02 AM

Re: Clinton, Trump All but Tied as Enthusiasm Dips for Democratic Candidate
 
It was a good DACA run fellas, wish it could've been more permanent but eyyy.

magdation1 11-03-2016 12:32 PM

Re: Clinton, Trump All but Tied as Enthusiasm Dips for Democratic Candidate
 
SO let's talk seriously, if Trump wins what should we do? do you think our EOD will stop immediately when he reverses the executive action?

turmalina 11-03-2016 03:25 PM

Re: Clinton, Trump All but Tied as Enthusiasm Dips for Democratic Candidate
 
I heard the opposite today, Hillary up by one point. lol

Eff this election, such a clusterfuck!

Charolastra 11-03-2016 03:39 PM

Re: Clinton, Trump All but Tied as Enthusiasm Dips for Democratic Candidate
 
The only reason for me wishing she wins is personal interest, knowing she will at least keep DACA alive and at best push for CIR.

But other than that, I personally see her as an unscrupulous woman who will do actual damage to this country in the long run.

PS Trump can go to hell too, but at least his foreign policy proposals are sensible.

VeryNicePerson1 11-03-2016 09:39 PM

Re: Clinton, Trump All but Tied as Enthusiasm Dips for Democratic Candidate
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by magdation1 (Post 585479)
SO let's talk seriously, if Trump wins what should we do? do you think our EOD will stop immediately when he reverses the executive action?

Who knows...but it is a likely chance that he will shut down DACA quickly..which will most likely lead to our EADs being void...so we won't even get the benefit of working until the end of our EAD expiration

Quote:

Originally Posted by turmalina (Post 585486)
I heard the opposite today, Hillary up by one point. lol

Eff this election, such a clusterfuck!

Hearing any candidate up by 1 point doesn't mean much...but I still see Hillary winning this, but the random swingy results from so many polls makes me think that Election Day is going to be very interesting. I mean Hillary could possibly lose Pennsylvania and New Hampshire, but win Florida which cancels out those 2 losses...you know wild unexpected results like that...

Quote:

Originally Posted by Charolastra (Post 585488)
The only reason for me wishing she wins is personal interest, knowing she will at least keep DACA alive and at best push for CIR.

Yep that DACA firewall is a real big deal...that's THE lifeline for almost all of us.

legendver2 11-03-2016 09:43 PM

Re: Clinton, Trump All but Tied as Enthusiasm Dips for Democratic Candidate
 
I'm for Hillary, even though she's not that great a candidate, regardless of DACA, because Trump is certifiably insane. But real talk, if it wasn't for DACA, I would not mind Trump winning, if just to revel in the chaos and anarchy afterwards and be able to tell the deplorables, I told you so, when he crashes the country.

Pianoswithoutfaith 11-03-2016 11:05 PM

Re: Clinton, Trump All but Tied as Enthusiasm Dips for Democratic Candidate
 
Trump has a history of being openly racist. He doesn't hide it.

DogJuiceMan 11-04-2016 09:23 AM

Re: Clinton, Trump All but Tied as Enthusiasm Dips for Democratic Candidate
 
Trump is jut another wallace, he wont win, not while hillary still can cheat.

Demise 11-04-2016 11:13 AM

Re: Clinton, Trump All but Tied as Enthusiasm Dips for Democratic Candidate
 
This election will make me addicted to benzos... Guy is basically a fucking fascist that started off his campaign by blaming us, and the Chinese, and the Mexicans for all the woes of this nation instead of assfucks like himself that ship jobs to where they can undermine wages and unions are illegal or impractical. Nope, it's not Donald that bought Chinese steel for his skyscraper, it's all fault of Jose raking leaves and trimming hedges for the entire block.

His whole campaign has been a disaster and his who plan is a fucking catch phrase. He has no idea how to

How the fuck are his odds not in the single digits. Like what the hell happened. AZ was polling in the blue for like 3 weeks and now it flipped back red, Ohio is polling red, Iowa is polling red, hell even Florida is (NC is somehow blue in this bizzaro world). I know Hillary will most likely win but how the fuck can a fucking asshole and retard go so high up in politics...

5 more days... Our lives will be decided in 5 days.

Pianoswithoutfaith 11-04-2016 12:43 PM

Re: Clinton, Trump All but Tied as Enthusiasm Dips for Democratic Candidate
 
some of my friends families are Filipino, and theyre voting Trump. Makes no sense considering he called pinoys terrorist and animals

DogJuiceMan 11-04-2016 04:36 PM

Re: Clinton, Trump All but Tied as Enthusiasm Dips for Democratic Candidate
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pianoswithoutfaith (Post 585538)
some of my friends families are Filipino, and theyre voting Trump. Makes no sense considering he called pinoys terrorist and animals

Same reason Chyno loves trump, and would still love him even if Trump deported his ass, as he has vowed to do. It has no logic.

I can just imagine Chyno sitting there, a big grin, stretching from ear to ear watching the trump rally, cheering even.

MAGA!! MAGA!!!

Or worse yet, physically attending the rallies and cheering when Trump says he will deport him. Momentarily forgetting his own predicament, and cheering to make America great again. Then the Trump supporters curbstomp him for being undocumented, but Chyno isn't angry at them, he's angry at himself for being undocumented. "it's my damn fault for being an illegal. Maga!!"

finally the worst transgression yet, Chyno purchases and wears a MAGA hat, the symbol of his demise.


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